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Crude Oil Price Analysis 2018-2019

One of the necessities of the universe right now is nothing, but crude oil, which is unrefined petroleum that formed of hydrocarbon deposits along with different organic materials.

It refines to make products like gasoline, petrochemicals, and diesel. Since it’s a very crucial need of the modern era, so let’s check out the crude oil price analysis of 2018-2019. It will also be beneficial in predicting the future of oil prices.

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Crude Oil Analysis 2018-19

When we take a glance at the first half of the year 2018, we can see the fluctuations in the price of crude oil. As per the statistics, the price was 69.08 U.S dollars per barrel, which fell a bit and become 65.32 in February 2018. In March, it rose a bit to 66.02 dollars per barrel, and then you could see the further rise in the Brent crude oil price for April and May (72.11 and 76.98 respectively). The oil price for the last month of the first half of 2018 recorded as 74.4 dollars.

The year’s second half, however, brought more positive results with it as the overall Brent crude oil prices were low, but there were also some exceptions like 78.89 in September and 81.03 in October. The last month’s price recorded as 57.36 dollars per barrel, which shows the decrease in the price level for Brent Crude Oil.

Comes from the Brent oil field, which located in the North-East of the Shetland Islands (part of the United Kingdom), the Brent oil is among the lightest crude oils consists of a low content of Sulphur. The notable point is it refined into gasoline and middle distillates in North-West Europe.

The other crucial benchmark includes West Texas Intermediate (WTI), and it also rose close to 30% between the time duration of January and October, from 60 dollars to 78 dollars. Keep in mind WTI is quite essential for North America, and Dubai Crude dominates the Asian Market for oil.

Crude Oil Forecast

US Crude Oil Production and Imports

As per the forecast, the average crude oil price per barrel will be 73.7 dollars in 2019. The predictions depend on the supply and demand’ interaction in the international market for oil. After the modest growth in 2018, the expectations are high that the nominal price of West Texas Intermediate will increase to 50 dollars per barrel, and the Brent price will rise to 53 dollars per barrel in 2020. Moreover, the World Bank also expects the overall increase in all three Crude oil benchmarks (Brent, WTI, and Dubai Crude) even after 2020. The expectations are $70 would be the average rate per barrel by 2030.

Current Scenario of Commodity Markets in China

Future of Gold Price Demand and Supply

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Current Scenario of Commodity Markets in China

China is one of the leading world economies. There is a possibility of commodities prices going up in 2019. But the China commodity market is dealing with an unprecedented number of disruptions including China and USA change in tariffs. As the world’s biggest buyer of natural resources made the presence of China felt on demand for crude oil, iron ore, coal, and purified natural gas. China’s extreme demand for major commodities is likely to remain the most determining factor influencing demand and supply in 2019.

Due to constraints in domestic gas inputs in China and the capacity limitations for pipeline imports, this means that liquified natural gas imports will increase in 2019 even if the price remains high. Secondly, China’s increasing use of natural gas has resulted in a decrease in coal import in China.

China has now boosted domestic production, this means that imports may find the going tougher this year. There is a possibility of iron ore markets in China will receive an increasing quality premium high-quality grade ore, which will, in turn, boost the fortunes of some producers but affect those in India which are majorly known for low-grade ore. Despite the efforts of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies to control the supply of oil to China, the oil demand is dominated by China.

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Tea or Coffee: Which is More Common in the US? And what are the chances of growth of Tea in the United States?

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budget india 2019 Feb

Everything You Should Know About the Interim Budget of India 2019

For the past few months, every other person in India have put eyes on the upcoming budget, and finally, it announced on yesterday, 1 st February 2019. The interim budget 2019-20 presented by Finance Minister Piyush Goyal in the Lok Sabha (Parliament).

He started his speech by wishing Arun Jaitley, the former Finance Minister, a speedy recovery. Then the parliament session officially initiated amidst uproar with the Opposition shouting slogans.

Major Highlights and crucial points of the Budget

The Finance Minister, Piyush Goyal, has said that the Modi Government have got a decisive mandate for continuing structured reforms. “We have reversed policy paralysis,” he added. The crucial points and highlights of the 2019 interim union budget are:

  • The possible turning point for the upcoming polls is the government announced full tax rebate for people having 5 lakh or less annual income. It’s giving relief to middle-class and lower classes of the society, and it means that people with income up to five lakh rupees are free from taxes.
  • Individuals with up to Rs 6.5 lakh annual income are free to pay taxes if they make investments in prescribed equities and provident funds.
  • The Indian Government also introduced a financial package for farmers. It announced the Pradhan Mantri Kisan Samman Nidhi Scheme, and under which every farmer will receive an amount of Rs. 6000 per annum in their bank accounts. The government has already allocated the net income of Rs 75,000 crore to initiate the scheme.
  • Another wise move the government of India has taken is it allocated Rs 64,587 crore to Railways, but its gross capital expenditure program is of Rs 1,58,658 crore. The Finance Minister Piyush Goyal has stated it in the yesterday’s interim budget in the Lok Sabha.
  • When it comes to Defense budget, the government has also increased it to Rs 3 lakh crore.

The above are the highlights and crucial points of the budget, and it seems the interim budget 2019-20 provides a massive boost to the primary growth engine, which is Domestic Consumption through income tax rebate for up to 30 million low-income taxpayers and marginal farmers of 120 million.

All hopes are with the latest budget as it seems quite promising because it favors the lower class and farmers a lot, who are an integral part of shaping one’s economy. Let’s see what will happen in the next few months when the general elections will occur.

India Election and Stock Market Performance during Past and Upcoming Election chances

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Cryptcurrencies

Top Industries that are likely to be Outperform By 2030

We are breathing in an era of fast technology; everyone is running towards something to achieve more in less time. When it comes to the world, it’s quite clear some industries are doing quality work, and there is a high chance of them to outperform by 2030. Well, it’s all about trends as the universe is going towards eccentric trending businesses, which introduce the novel products every few months to keep their consumers engaged. So, here are some of the industries that are likely to outperform by 2030.

  • Cryptocurrency

    The business of online currencies (Bitcoin, XRP, ether, and litecoin), commonly known as a cryptocurrency, is on peak these days, and it’s growing faster than any other thing. Corporate dealers from all over the world are enthusiastically spending their money in cryptocurrency, and it seems the business is not losing its charisma any soon. As per records, the initial price of a coin in 2017 was $1000, and then it raised to $19,000.Predictors have already predicted it the one of the highly demanded industry by 2030, but heart patients should stay away from them as it’s full of risks. It is like a share market, so the degree of uncertainty is extremely high.

  • Technology

    It’s among the most profitable industries in the world, and with every new update, Alltech-related products are getting better than before. Spending in Technology can be the wisest decision ever because people are more dependent on gadgets than labor. The corporate sector is highly dependable on machinery, Defense sector needs the latest weapons to secure its territory, and long story short, every other field wants technology in one form or other.

  • Digital Marketing

    With the boom of online businesses, digital marketing is mandatory now to create awareness about the particular brand on the internet to grab the attention of consumers. Blogging, Search Engine Optimization, Content Writing, Brochures, Advertisements, Campaigns, and much more are the essentials of Digital Marketing. It will be staying for a long time because e-business is overtaking other traditional-style businesses, and the future of digital marketing is not unsecured.

  • Real Estate

    Another industry, which can never be out of fashion, is none other than real estate. It was a successful business, it is, and it will always be.

    Purchase and sale of buildings/properties always benefit the real estate industry in always. However, sometimes, you can face loss, too.

  • Cosmetics

    Cosmetics Industry

    There was a time when people think of the use of makeup to look good only, but now it’s more like an art. Cosmetics play an essential role in building one’s reputation as for how someone presents him/her. Whenever you say cosmetics, one name instantly came into mind, which is South Korea, a highly obsessed country with flawless beauty. It is producing world-class products, and the popularity of its cosmetics isn’t a joke. Moreover, it’s gaining attention from all over the earth. Not only women, but men are using cosmetics and other skin care products, too.

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Future of Gold Price Demand and Supply

Demand and supply are basic aspects of economics. Demand and supply of a commodity or goods like gold can be determined with several factors such as; the prevailing market price, income of an individual, preferences, and choices, season, age and gender among many other factors. Of late we have witnessed a peculiar trend in the gold market where there is a decrease in the prices of gold despite the presence of high gold demand. This occurrence is against the law of demand which states that “The high the demand of a commodity the higher its market prices”. Although recent predictions have possed presence of high demand for gold.

We will look at factors that majorly affects the gold market to determine how each is likely to increase or decrease the price of gold. The primary factors that are likely to affect the price of gold this year or in the future are;

  • Demand for physical gold
  • Central Bank Buying
  • Demand for gold ETFs
  • New Mine Supply
  • Technical indicators
  • The US dollar among many other factors

Increase in physical demand for gold does not always increase the price of gold but it increases the interest in gold. High ETFs supply will definitely increase the prices of gold, and we have witnessed a tremendous in ETFs in the recent past. Central banks around the globe hold golds in their reserves. When they feel they want more they buy more thus increasing the demand for gold. With a constant increase in demand with no new supply, there will always be an increase in gold prices since the market supply cannot match its demand.

Therefore given that most factor that determines the prices of gold are most likely to increase then the prices of gold are also most likely to increase year in, year out.

Tea or Coffee: Which is More Common in the US? And what are the chances of growth of Tea in the United States?

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Tea Business in America

Tea or Coffee: Which is More Common in the US? And what are the chances of growth of Tea in the United States?

We all know it’s necessary to be a workaholic if you wish development and progress in your society, and the citizens of the superpower of the earth, which is the United States, take help of drinks and beverages to stay in senses after working for so many hours. But do you know which is more popular in America? Tea or Coffee?

Americans’ obsession with Coffee

Till date, Americans are highly obsessed with coffee than any other brew. Wherever you visit in the United States, whether in hotels, official buildings, gas stations, or grocery stores, you will see coffee everywhere. As per sources, Americans consumes more coffee than soda, tea, or even alcohol. It outsells tea third times greater than it, and the consumption of even the iced tea, which is also well-known among Americans, is weaker than its rival.

Why is Tea a less-consuming brew in the United States?

Though coffee overshadows tea in many ways, still the consumption of tea is 7.8 gallons per capita annually. Tea-consumption is less in the States, because the US is an importer of it, and usually, the quality of the teabags available in the supermarkets aren’t up to the standard of what the world called, “Tea.” Moreover, Iced-Tea and Hot Black Tea are famous in some parts of the States. According to our info, tea in the United Kingdom and Canada is more high-quality than in the States.

Are Coffee beans grow in the United States?

Even though America has a high-consumption coffee rate, still only Hawaii can grow beans, and it’s the only place where you could ever see the commercial coffee plants. Moreover, Puerto Rico also grows the plants, but it’s not the state of the US. However, it’s still a territory of America. The biggest exporters of the coffee are Latin America, Eastern Africa, and Asia. Java, Kona, Columbian, and Arabica coffee beans are the types of Coffee.

Are there any chances of Tea-growth in the United States?

Tea and Coffee in the America

Tea-leaves (Camellia Sinensis) can grow in the warmer parts of the US, and the revenue in this segment is USD 2,189 Million in 2019. The expectations are quite high that the market will eventually grow by 2.4% till 2023. As per surveys and reports, the popularity of tea is getting higher in the United States by each passing day, and the total tea imports increased by 1% in 2016, and it’s increasing every year. So, the future of tea in the US is bright.

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Brexit: Future of the European Union and the United Kingdom

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Brexit: Future of the European Union and the United Kingdom

Not only Europeans, but people who have even a mere interest in politics seem worried about Brexit. Most common questions are arising like what will happen to the European Union after Brexit? How will England act after Brexit? Will the EU citizens have to quit the UnitedKingdom after it or not? Brexit is a viral topic these days, and everyone is giving his/her opinion regarding it. Before discussing what will be the effects of post-Brexit, let us give a little intro on it.

Future-of-Europe-and-UK-Brexit

Future-of-Europe-and-UK-Brexit

What is Brexit? Why does it happen?

It is a popular shorthand name for Britain-Exit; exit from the European Union. It aroused when the referendum took place on 23 rd June 2016, in which millions of people voted out in favor of the United Kingdom’s exit from the EU. Almost 52 % of votes advocated the idea of leaving the platform.

What is the European Union?

Remember, European Union formed after World War 2, and it consists of 28 countries includingFrance, UK, Germany, Poland, Croatia, and more. The purpose behind the formation of EU was to merge European countries economically and politically. As per EU, nations which trade together can never hurt each other, and thus, they formed the partnership.

When will the UK leave the EU?

29 March 2019 is the day when the UK is due to leave the European Union, and the PrimeMinister, Theresa May, triggered this procedure on 29 March 2017, so it means the UnitedKingdom will exit in 2019. However, a European court has ruled that Great Britain can reverse the decision to stop the process. It can also extend if all 28 members agree for the UK’s stay in the partnership.

How will Brexit affect the EU?

Most probably, it will affect the EU negatively as the European Union citizens will have to go through strict immigration policies post-Brexit. The trade impact will be a bit negative, too. As per sources, the Conservative government has already introduced the EU (withdrawal) Bill to Parliament to finish the primacy of European Union law in the UK on the day of Brexit. The post-Brexit trading is probably become more complex than ever because it will need the approval of over 30 national and regional level parliaments across Europe.

Overall, the impact of Brexit will be negative on the European Union and the United Kingdom, but it is yet to decide who will face more complexities than the other one.

Russian Television Says by 2030 US will be the Second Largest Economy After India

Top Five Billionaires of 2018

Federal Employees are not Getting Paid on Time: U.S. Partial Government Shutdown 2018

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Federal Employees are not Getting Paid on Time: U.S. Partial Government Shutdown 2018

Getting paid on time is not less than a blessing, and especially when you’re living in the United
States, but due to a partial government shutdown, it becomes a nightmare for the federal
employees to get their payment on time.

How did the Shutdown happen?

It all started when the current president of the United States, Donald Trump, demanded to fund
for a pet project (Southern border wall), but Congress didn’t show enough support to pass it. On
December 21, 2018, Congress let funding for 25% of the government expire, and by the deadline
of the midnight, Senate and the House hadn’t passed a spending bill, so the government partially
shut down.

Shutdown Effects

Because of Washington brinkmanship, U.S. government has to shut down partially on 22 nd
December 2018, but it immediately affects the federal workers, who don’t have any other option
but to wait until the impasse ends. As per records, 420,000 employees would have to work even
without payment. Moreover, almost 380,000 workers sent home without pay, of course.

Federal Employees Pay

It not only hit hard the Washington D.C’s federal workers but also affected the government
agency employees in Alaska, West Virginia, Wyoming, South Dakota, Mexico, Idaho, and
Montana.

As per reports, half of the affected employees don’t even have college degrees. On the other side,
one in five workers have education beyond a bachelor’s degree, and almost 45% of them were
working as administrative positions like air traffic controllers, IT managers, criminal
investigators, and inspectors. Others include blue-collar employees, including custodians,
mechanics, and cooks.

How can the issue resolve?

Well, the three possibilities that can end the shutdown are:

  • If Trump surrenders and agreeing to remove shutdown without getting funds for the
    border wall.
  •  If Democrats give up and agree to a few or all demands of the president.
  •  If Republicans surrender, and join Democrats to pass the spending bill with a veto-proof
    majority for funding the government. In this way, they don’t need Trump’s approval.

These are only assumptions, and nobody knows what will happen next. But one thing is
understandable the federal employees’ lives are at stake even though they are not responsible for
all this fuss.

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Russian Television Says by 2030 US will be the Second Largest Economy After India

The world economy is still in making as India is at the heart of it. Russia Today television was
trying to analyze a future forecast which was postulated by Standard Chartered Bank, it is
believed that India is most likely going to become the second world largest economy by the
year 2030 following China and overtaking US economy. This UK based international bank also
believes that India is likely to be the chief mover, with its trend growth increasing to 7.8% in the
The 2020s, majorly due to ongoing reforms in India for example; introduction of national goods and
service tax and the Indian Bankruptcy Code.

World GDP

The Indian Bankruptcy Code which was launched in India in 2016 helps the country in
consolidating the country’s bankruptcy and insolvency laws. On the other hand, the
introduction of national goods and service tax was launched in 2017 and it is helping India by
simplifying the tiresome and cumbersome tax regime.

In the US the aging population outnumbers the youth while India is well recognized as the
home of the world’s largest group of young people, a population section which is believed to
have help and will help in consumerism in India’s economy. Though for this to be achieved it is
believed that 10 million jobs have created in the service and manufacturing industries in
India.

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GST: The Goods and Services Tax

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India Election and Stock Market Performance during Past and Upcoming Election chances

These days’ Indian investors are anxious concerning their economic growth, which is supposed to be destabilized by the upcoming elections in the country. If we look back at 2014 elections, investors were excited with assumptions that BJP will come into government this time with Narendra Modi as prime minister. They were hoping that he will give priority to the development by making more reformed policies and governance. When the results of General Elections 2014 were announced, that positively impacted the stock market performance. Investor’s reaction to the results was very positive, and BJP’s prime ministerial candidate showed an impressive performance of economic governance in Gujarat.

Indian Parliment Election

Look, the stock market always works on speculations, assumptions or anticipations about something positive and negative. History has made us to believe that any big event can impact stock market performance as per peoples’ assumptions. Furthermore, this stock market gets stable and adjusted when that event actually happens. There is one very widely accepted beliefs about the market, “Market moves on the news and gets adjusted on actual things happens.” You can make huge profits through stock market performance during elections by buying or selling the moment news or assumptions made, and after that selling and buying when things actually happen.
Looking at the Indian economy, BJP party is always considered as investors friendly by the market participants. It is widely considered as this party has a more policy-oriented approach than freebies government. Indians are confident that now BJP will come into government, and they will get the market momentum by making more productive policies and bills. In the hope of these assumptions, they have started buying stocks to later make profits from them by selling these stocks when the market goes up. But the irony is that, if the BJP party could not come into government, the market could definitely crash up to 10 percent or even more. Therefore, the stock market is actually a confidence game and it widely works on speculations and news about the big events like elections. You will see the stock market will fluctuate even after 12th May. Actually, this opinion poll cannot conclude or ad any value to any company or stock market, but people will still buy and sell shares according to these speculations. Hoping I gave a bit sense of this irony.
But this time Congress is also made their grand entry with the state election results. There is a chance that if Congress wins the stock market became volatile, but soon after it will be steady or uptrend after a few days. Lets hope.

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